FPL

Forward Analysis

The forward options I'm considering for GW1.

Below are the forwards I’m considering for my GW1 team. I like to line up with 1 premium 10.0+, 1 mid price 7.5-9.5 and 1 budget 6.0-7.0. However this season there is a lack of options in the 7.5-9.5 range, so there is an argument to go with two 6.0-7.0s, as there are quite a few good options in that price bracket.

Premium

Kane (12.5) [new, FUL, mun, wat] [LIV, bha, hud, CAR]

Kane has been a heavy hitting fantasy football option for the last three seasons, scoring over 25 goals in each season, barring injury he will likely do it again. However, due to the world cup he hasn’t had a preseason and it is unclear if he will be fit enough to start GW1. Pochettino hasn’t revealed who will be ready to start the season, and Kane’s wife has also recently given birth. For those reasons I’m going to avoid for now,  but Kane will almost certainly end up in my team at some point this season.

Aubameyang (11.0) [MCY, che, WHM, car] [new, EVE, WAT, ful]

Signed in the January transfer window last season, Aubameyang has hit the ground running at Arsenal scoring 10 goals in 13 appearances. In preseason Auba has lined up on the left of a front three to accommodate Lacazette through the middle, but this hasn’t dented his attacking appeal as he’s netted 6 goals and 3 assists. Unfortunately Arsenal face City and Chelsea in the first two, so I’ll be avoiding for now, he is a very good option and could still score well though. I’ll look to have a plan to bring Auba in GW3/4 once Arsenals fixtures take a turn for the better.

Aguero (11.0) [ars, HUD, wol, NEW] [FUL, car, BHA, liv]

Following Aguero’s brace (he should have had four!) in the community shield he is hard to ignore. City also have excellent fixtures from GW2-7, and will score goals in those game with Aguero likely involved. Last season Aguero had a chance every 21 minutes scoring 21 goals in 25 appearances. Pep has also said that Aguero has had successful knee surgery which has made him feel “freer”, so he could be even better than last year, and maybe get more pitch time. There is always the lingering doubt of rotation with Jesus, but I think Aguero starts the season and will score well.

Mid Price

Firmino (9.5) [WHM, cpl, BHA, lei] [tot, SOU, che, MCY]

The only option I like in the 8.0-9.5 price bracket is Firmino. Last season Firmino had the same chances per minute as Lukaku and Aubameyang, both of which command higher price tags than the Brazilian. Liverpool have looked good preseason and have excellent fixtures GW1-4. They will score goals and I’d back Firmino to be involved. He;s currently in my team.

Budget

Zaha (7.0) [ful, LIV, wat, SOU] [hud, NEW, bou, WOL]

It’s a shame Zaha is classified as a forward, if he was a mid he would be straight in my team with Palaces fixtures as they are. As it is he will get one less point for each goal he scores and won’t get a clean sheet either, reducing his potential points. In the last preseason game he played in a front two with Benteke, which is a good sign, however he could be shifted out to the left at any time. Saying that Zaha is Palace’s talisman, has good fixtures and will probably score goals!

Tosun (7.0) [wol, SOU, bou, HUD] [WHM, ars, FUL, lei]

Everton have signed some good creative talent over the summer, and Sigurdsson’s creative output should also improve if he moves to the number 10 role, meaning that Tosun should get plenty of service. Tosun has an eye for goals and has an excellent run of fixtures to start the season

Arnautovic (7.0) [liv, BOU, ars, WLV] [eve, CHE, MNU, bha]

Although West Ham’s fixtures to start the season are tough, Arnautovic has had a great preseason with 5 goals and 1 assist, and looks to have made that centre forward role his own. Arnie will be West Ham’s talisman this season, and can score against anyone, so if you don’t mind his fixtures he’s a good option.

King (6.5) [CAR, whm, EVE, che] [LEI, bur, CPL, wat]

Towards the end of last season King found the goal scoring form that made him a fantasy favourite in the 2016/17 season. He carried that form over to pre-season scoring 4 goals and 1 assists. With a strong set of opening fixtures there’s hope King can maintain that run of form. He is currently my 3rd striker of choice.

Mitrovic (6.5) (CPL, tot, BUR, bha] [mci, WAT, eve, ARS]

After joining Fulham on loan from Newcastle, Mitrovic scored 12 goals in 18 appearances to help the Cottagers secure promotion. Along with Sessegnon, Mitrovic will be Fulham’s talisman, and will need to score goals if they are to stay in the league.

Austin (6.0) [BUR, eve, LEI, cpl] [BHA, liv, wol, CHE]

When he is on the pitch Charlie Austin score goals. With a chance every 21 minutes last season, which was on a par with Aguero, Austin has the goal threat to be considered. Saints have lined up in a 3-5-2 in preseason, so it looks likely Austin will start the season up front with Gabbiadini. However Saints have recently bought in Danny Ings on loan, which may put Austin’s game time at risk. One to consider if you can’t stretch your budget to one of the 6.5 options.

My Verdict

I think I’m set on going with Aguero, Firmino and King as my three strikers in a 3-4-3 formation. If you don’t fancy Firmino, or if you would prefer a double Liverpool midfield instead, there’s a strong argument to select another of the 6.5-7.0 options. Zaha, Tosun, Arnautovic and Mitrovic could all score well at the start of the season.

My loose plan to get in Aubameyang GW3/4 will be to transfer him in for Firmino (Liverpool’s fixtures turn sour GW5-8), and downgrade one of my 6.0 defenders to a 4.5.

Related Articles

Goalkeeper Analysis

Defender Analysis

Midfielder Analysis

3 comments on “Forward Analysis

  1. Pingback: Goalkeeper Analysis – fplfanatic

  2. Pingback: Defender Analysis – fplfanatic

  3. Pingback: Midfielder Analysis – fplfanatic

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